Mid Sussex

South East · England
-11.8pp WBI 85.9% → 74.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
152,566 Population (2021 Census)
85.9% White British (2021)
79.2% White British (2041 projected)
74.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.9%
white other 6.4%
asian 3.6%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.5%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 74.1%
white other 11.1%
asian 5.5%
black 1.0%
mixed 7.6%
other 0.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+2.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.33 · Dissimilarity: 12.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 88.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 38.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.0%
notEnglishPct 8.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

37/100 Low Pressure Rank 164 of 320
Ethnic change10/20
Asylum14/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.6%
Avg home ownership70.4%
Avg social rent10.3%
Degree or above36.9%
No qualifications11.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.4%
Social rent (2021)10.3%
Private rent (2021)14.8%
Ownership (2041)68.6%
Social rent (2041)10.2%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.0%
notEnglishPct 8.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census