Brighton and Hove

South East · England
-33.7pp WBI 73.9% → 40.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
277,103 Population (2021 Census)
73.9% White British (2021)
54.4% White British (2041 projected)
40.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 73.9%
white other 11.4%
asian 4.8%
black 2.0%
mixed 4.8%
other 3.1%

Projected 2051

white british 40.2%
white other 16.0%
asian 4.9%
black 2.4%
mixed 7.6%
other 28.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
0.0pp Structural effect
-0.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.53 · Dissimilarity: 8.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 80.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 19.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 53.0%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.9%
notEnglishPct 18.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

45/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 115 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum2/20
School6/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59.5%
Avg home ownership48.2%
Avg social rent13.9%
Degree or above41.6%
No qualifications11.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)48.2%
Social rent (2021)13.9%
Private rent (2021)31.2%
Ownership (2041)43.5%
Social rent (2041)13.8%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 30,298 pupils.

WBI pupils67.5%
Minority pupils32.5%
EAL growth (projected)+6.4pp
WBI gap (school vs population)6.4pp

Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.9%
notEnglishPct 18.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+19.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census