Buckinghamshire

South East · England
-24.5pp WBI 72.6% → 48.1% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
553,078 Population (2021 Census)
72.6% White British (2021)
55.5% White British (2041 projected)
48.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 72.6%
white other 7.3%
asian 12.3%
black 4.0%
mixed 2.1%
other 1.6%

Projected 2051

white british 48.1%
white other 12.5%
asian 21.9%
black 6.1%
mixed 6.5%
other 4.9%

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.54 · Dissimilarity: 3.7

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.7%
notEnglishPct 14.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

39/100 Low Pressure Rank 157 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum2/20
School18/20
Language0/20
Housing0/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.9%
Avg home ownership59.2%
Avg social rent10.9%
Degree or above34.4%
No qualifications11.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)59.2%
Social rent (2021)10.9%
Private rent (2021)13.6%
Ownership (2041)51.9%
Social rent (2041)10%
Social rent change-0.9pp

Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 89,116 pupils.

WBI pupils55.1%
Minority pupils44.9%
EAL growth (projected)+17.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)17.5pp

Schools are 17pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.7%
notEnglishPct 14.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census