Three Rivers

East of England · England
-36.4pp WBI 68.0% → 31.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
93,772 Population (2021 Census)
68.0% White British (2021)
44.3% White British (2041 projected)
31.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 68.0%
white other 9.2%
asian 15.2%
black 2.4%
mixed 3.6%
other 1.7%

Projected 2051

white british 31.5%
white other 16.4%
asian 41.6%
black 2.5%
mixed 6.6%
other 1.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-11.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
0.0pp Structural effect
-5.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.58 · Dissimilarity: 9.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 81.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 19.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 65.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.3%
notEnglishPct 15.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

40/100 Low Pressure Rank 152 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54.2%
Avg home ownership58.6%
Avg social rent12.1%
Degree or above35.4%
No qualifications10.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)58.6%
Social rent (2021)12.1%
Private rent (2021)11.7%
Ownership (2041)45.7%
Social rent (2041)9.3%
Social rent change-2.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.3%
notEnglishPct 15.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+23.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census