Central Bedfordshire

East of England · England
-29.0pp WBI 83.5% → 54.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
294,251 Population (2021 Census)
83.5% White British (2021)
66.8% White British (2041 projected)
54.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 83.5%
white other 6.7%
asian 3.5%
black 2.4%
mixed 3.0%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 54.5%
white other 22.4%
asian 6.5%
black 6.0%
mixed 9.4%
other 1.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+1.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.38 · Dissimilarity: 10.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 36.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.1%
notEnglishPct 9.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

45/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 113 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum3/20
School10/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate62.7%
Avg home ownership68.3%
Avg social rent12.6%
Degree or above31.3%
No qualifications14.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)68.3%
Social rent (2021)12.6%
Private rent (2021)13.2%
Ownership (2041)63.5%
Social rent (2041)11.8%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 48,740 pupils.

WBI pupils74.0%
Minority pupils26.0%
EAL growth (projected)+9.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)9.5pp

Schools are 10pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.1%
notEnglishPct 9.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census