Windsor and Maidenhead

South East · England
-28.0pp WBI 69.1% → 41.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
153,497 Population (2021 Census)
69.1% White British (2021)
51.1% White British (2041 projected)
41.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 69.1%
white other 10.8%
asian 13.1%
black 1.5%
mixed 3.4%
other 2.1%

Projected 2051

white british 41.1%
white other 14.2%
asian 26.0%
black 2.1%
mixed 8.6%
other 8.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-8.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.2pp Structural effect
-2.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.57 · Dissimilarity: 9.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 10.3% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 78.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 21.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 68.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.3%
notEnglishPct 17.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

66/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 25 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum12/20
School14/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.6%
Avg home ownership56.5%
Avg social rent10.6%
Degree or above38.6%
No qualifications10.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)56.5%
Social rent (2021)10.6%
Private rent (2021)18.3%
Ownership (2041)49.1%
Social rent (2041)9.2%
Social rent change-1.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 22,677 pupils.

WBI pupils55.3%
Minority pupils44.7%
EAL growth (projected)+13.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)13.8pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.3%
notEnglishPct 17.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+18pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census