Bolsover

East Midlands · England
-12.7pp WBI 93.3% → 80.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
80,270 Population (2021 Census)
93.3% White British (2021)
85.8% White British (2041 projected)
80.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.3%
white other 4.1%
asian 0.9%
black 0.5%
mixed 0.9%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 80.5%
white other 15.6%
asian 0.9%
black 0.7%
mixed 2.1%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+4.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.18 · Dissimilarity: 18.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 32.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

32/100 Low Pressure Rank 197 of 320
Ethnic change11/20
Asylum8/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59%
Avg home ownership65.2%
Avg social rent16.1%
Degree or above21.5%
No qualifications23.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65.2%
Social rent (2021)16.1%
Private rent (2021)17.3%
Ownership (2041)62.9%
Social rent (2041)16.1%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+7.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census