Chesterfield

East Midlands · England
-4.2pp WBI 93.0% → 88.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
103,568 Population (2021 Census)
93.0% White British (2021)
90.5% White British (2041 projected)
88.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.0%
white other 2.4%
asian 1.9%
black 0.8%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 88.8%
white other 4.6%
asian 2.2%
black 0.8%
mixed 3.1%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 29.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 278 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.5%
Avg home ownership61%
Avg social rent20.2%
Degree or above26.1%
No qualifications19.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)61%
Social rent (2021)20.2%
Private rent (2021)16%
Ownership (2041)60.5%
Social rent (2041)20.2%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.8%
notEnglishPct 4.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census