Rotherham

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-15.6pp WBI 88.3% → 72.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
265,806 Population (2021 Census)
88.3% White British (2021)
79.3% White British (2041 projected)
72.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 88.3%
white other 2.8%
asian 5.3%
black 1.1%
mixed 1.5%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 72.6%
white other 6.8%
asian 9.8%
black 2.3%
mixed 4.4%
other 4.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.9pp Structural effect
+3.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.29 · Dissimilarity: 13.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 25.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

42/100 Low Pressure Rank 132 of 320
Ethnic change13/20
Asylum8/20
School12/20
Language0/20
Housing9/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54.2%
Avg home ownership59.6%
Avg social rent19.4%
Degree or above21.7%
No qualifications21.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)59.6%
Social rent (2021)19.4%
Private rent (2021)14.6%
Ownership (2041)55.9%
Social rent (2041)18.7%
Social rent change-0.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 44,901 pupils.

WBI pupils76.8%
Minority pupils23.2%
EAL growth (projected)+11.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)11.5pp

Schools are 11pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.9%
notEnglishPct 8.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census