Cornwall

South West · England
-11.2pp WBI 93.6% → 82.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
570,305 Population (2021 Census)
93.6% White British (2021)
88.0% White British (2041 projected)
82.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.6%
white other 3.2%
asian 0.7%
black 0.2%
mixed 1.2%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 82.4%
white other 5.4%
asian 0.9%
black 0.2%
mixed 4.1%
other 7.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+5.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.18 · Dissimilarity: 19.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 20.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

19/100 Stable Rank 292 of 320
Ethnic change8/20
Asylum0/20
School3/20
Language0/20
Housing8/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.3%
Avg home ownership66.7%
Avg social rent12.7%
Degree or above30.3%
No qualifications16.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)66.7%
Social rent (2021)12.7%
Private rent (2021)19.7%
Ownership (2041)65.9%
Social rent (2041)12.7%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 71,799 pupils.

WBI pupils91.1%
Minority pupils8.9%
EAL growth (projected)+2.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)2.5pp

School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census