Welwyn Hatfield

East of England · England
-23.8pp WBI 67.2% → 43.4% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
119,835 Population (2021 Census)
67.2% White British (2021)
50.3% White British (2041 projected)
43.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 67.2%
white other 11.5%
asian 8.8%
black 7.9%
mixed 2.3%
other 2.3%

Projected 2051

white british 43.4%
white other 15.9%
asian 16.2%
black 11.3%
mixed 7.0%
other 6.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.3pp Structural effect
-3.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.62 · Dissimilarity: 7.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 78.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 22.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 69.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 89.5%
notEnglishPct 21.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

48/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 99 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum8/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate53.1%
Avg home ownership48%
Avg social rent20.7%
Degree or above31.2%
No qualifications12%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)48%
Social rent (2021)20.7%
Private rent (2021)14.5%
Ownership (2041)43.1%
Social rent (2041)18%
Social rent change-2.7pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 89.5%
notEnglishPct 21.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census