East Hertfordshire

East of England · England
-24.1pp WBI 84.7% → 60.6% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
150,159 Population (2021 Census)
84.7% White British (2021)
68.6% White British (2041 projected)
60.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 84.7%
white other 7.5%
asian 2.7%
black 2.4%
mixed 1.8%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 60.6%
white other 13.6%
asian 10.7%
black 5.4%
mixed 5.5%
other 4.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+1.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.35 · Dissimilarity: 10.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 49.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.4%
notEnglishPct 9.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

39/100 Low Pressure Rank 159 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing19/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate62.3%
Avg home ownership67.1%
Avg social rent12.4%
Degree or above36.6%
No qualifications13.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.1%
Social rent (2021)12.4%
Private rent (2021)15.4%
Ownership (2041)60.4%
Social rent (2041)11.3%
Social rent change-1.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.4%
notEnglishPct 9.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+16.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census