Broxbourne

East of England · England
-45.2pp WBI 68.6% → 23.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
99,007 Population (2021 Census)
68.6% White British (2021)
37.3% White British (2041 projected)
23.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 68.6%
white other 12.5%
asian 3.7%
black 6.7%
mixed 4.0%
other 4.6%

Projected 2051

white british 23.4%
white other 13.7%
asian 3.1%
black 12.5%
mixed 7.7%
other 39.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-12.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.1pp Structural effect
-5.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.61 · Dissimilarity: 11.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 13.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 82.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 17.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 63.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.0%
notEnglishPct 18.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 55 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum18/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.8%
Avg home ownership62%
Avg social rent12.7%
Degree or above24.7%
No qualifications18.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)62%
Social rent (2021)12.7%
Private rent (2021)15%
Ownership (2041)56.3%
Social rent (2041)11.1%
Social rent change-1.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.0%
notEnglishPct 18.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+31.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census