South Cambridgeshire

East of England · England
-28.3pp WBI 79.6% → 51.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
162,117 Population (2021 Census)
79.5% White British (2021)
62.5% White British (2041 projected)
51.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 79.5%
white other 9.4%
asian 5.8%
black 1.3%
mixed 2.8%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 51.3%
white other 23.7%
asian 12.9%
black 2.3%
mixed 8.1%
other 1.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.6pp Structural effect
-0.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.43 · Dissimilarity: 8.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 83.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 16.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 47.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.2%
notEnglishPct 13.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

36/100 Low Pressure Rank 169 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.9%
Avg home ownership65.9%
Avg social rent13.6%
Degree or above44.7%
No qualifications10.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65.9%
Social rent (2021)13.6%
Private rent (2021)13.5%
Ownership (2041)60%
Social rent (2041)12.6%
Social rent change-1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.2%
notEnglishPct 13.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census