Stevenage

East of England · England
-18.9pp WBI 75.3% → 56.4% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
89,498 Population (2021 Census)
75.3% White British (2021)
61.7% White British (2041 projected)
56.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 75.3%
white other 7.5%
asian 7.5%
black 6.7%
mixed 1.7%
other 1.3%

Projected 2051

white british 56.4%
white other 11.6%
asian 13.9%
black 7.3%
mixed 6.6%
other 4.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.2pp Structural effect
-1.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.51 · Dissimilarity: 2.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 83.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 16.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 61.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.8%
notEnglishPct 16.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 56 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum18/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.7%
Avg home ownership50.2%
Avg social rent22.4%
Degree or above25.5%
No qualifications14.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)50.2%
Social rent (2021)22.4%
Private rent (2021)13.2%
Ownership (2041)46.7%
Social rent (2041)20.3%
Social rent change-2.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 91.8%
notEnglishPct 16.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+13.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census