Bracknell Forest

South East · England
-22.0pp WBI 77.8% → 55.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
124,605 Population (2021 Census)
77.8% White British (2021)
64.2% White British (2041 projected)
55.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 77.8%
white other 8.3%
asian 7.2%
black 2.4%
mixed 3.1%
other 1.3%

Projected 2051

white british 55.8%
white other 17.6%
asian 14.0%
black 3.7%
mixed 7.4%
other 1.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.4pp Structural effect
-0.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.47 · Dissimilarity: 5.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 82.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 17.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 62.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.3%
notEnglishPct 15.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

49/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 93 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School9/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate63%
Avg home ownership61.6%
Avg social rent14.2%
Degree or above32.4%
No qualifications11.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)61.6%
Social rent (2021)14.2%
Private rent (2021)14.7%
Ownership (2041)56.9%
Social rent (2041)12.9%
Social rent change-1.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 18,739 pupils.

WBI pupils69.3%
Minority pupils30.7%
EAL growth (projected)+8.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)8.5pp

Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.3%
notEnglishPct 15.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+13.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census