Basingstoke and Deane

South East · England
-23.9pp WBI 81.8% → 57.9% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
185,154 Population (2021 Census)
81.8% White British (2021)
67.6% White British (2041 projected)
57.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 81.8%
white other 6.6%
asian 5.9%
black 2.0%
mixed 2.6%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 57.9%
white other 13.9%
asian 14.2%
black 6.8%
mixed 5.9%
other 1.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.7pp Structural effect
+0.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.41 · Dissimilarity: 8.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 85.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 14.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 44.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.9%
notEnglishPct 14.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

35/100 Low Pressure Rank 173 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate62.3%
Avg home ownership61%
Avg social rent16.5%
Degree or above32.5%
No qualifications13.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)61%
Social rent (2021)16.5%
Private rent (2021)14.5%
Ownership (2041)54.7%
Social rent (2041)15%
Social rent change-1.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 92.9%
notEnglishPct 14.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+14.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census