Hounslow

London · England
-21.4pp WBI 28.4% → 7.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
288,181 Population (2021 Census)
28.4% White British (2021)
12.7% White British (2041 projected)
7.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 28.4%
white other 15.7%
asian 36.7%
black 7.2%
mixed 4.7%
other 7.3%

Projected 2051

white british 7.0%
white other 12.9%
asian 25.8%
black 5.6%
mixed 4.7%
other 44.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-9.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+3.4pp Structural effect
-6.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.86 · Dissimilarity: 46.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 26.7% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 50.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 49.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 81.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 71.7%
notEnglishPct 56.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

70/100 High Pressure Rank 15 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum20/20
School14/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate37.7%
Avg home ownership25%
Avg social rent11.2%
Degree or above23.4%
No qualifications10.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)25%
Social rent (2021)11.2%
Private rent (2021)19.9%
Ownership (2041)24.9%
Social rent (2041)11.7%
Social rent change+0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 44,717 pupils.

WBI pupils14.5%
Minority pupils85.5%
EAL growth (projected)+13.9pp
WBI gap (school vs population)13.9pp

Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 71.7%
notEnglishPct 56.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.7pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census