Epping Forest

East of England · England
-33.8pp WBI 75.6% → 41.7% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
134,980 Population (2021 Census)
75.6% White British (2021)
53.5% White British (2041 projected)
41.7% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 75.6%
white other 8.5%
asian 7.2%
black 2.9%
mixed 3.6%
other 2.2%

Projected 2051

white british 41.7%
white other 23.4%
asian 13.7%
black 5.2%
mixed 8.9%
other 7.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-9.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.4pp Structural effect
-2.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.51 · Dissimilarity: 4.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 12.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 86.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 13.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 42.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.0%
notEnglishPct 12.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

41/100 Low Pressure Rank 141 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum6/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.9%
Avg home ownership62.8%
Avg social rent13.1%
Degree or above29.3%
No qualifications16.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)62.8%
Social rent (2021)13.1%
Private rent (2021)14%
Ownership (2041)56.5%
Social rent (2041)11.2%
Social rent change-2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.0%
notEnglishPct 12.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census