Havering

London · England
-57.2pp WBI 66.5% → 9.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
262,052 Population (2021 Census)
66.5% White British (2021)
23.3% White British (2041 projected)
9.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 66.5%
white other 8.8%
asian 10.7%
black 8.2%
mixed 3.7%
other 2.0%

Projected 2051

white british 9.3%
white other 18.6%
asian 42.9%
black 10.7%
mixed 5.4%
other 13.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-16.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.3pp Structural effect
-10.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.63 · Dissimilarity: 8.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 46.5% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 80.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 19.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 52.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.1%
notEnglishPct 19.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

58/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 58 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum3/20
School19/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate51.6%
Avg home ownership56.3%
Avg social rent11%
Degree or above24.4%
No qualifications16%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)56.3%
Social rent (2021)11%
Private rent (2021)13.8%
Ownership (2041)35.1%
Social rent (2041)6.7%
Social rent change-4.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 42,626 pupils.

WBI pupils48.0%
Minority pupils52.0%
EAL growth (projected)+18.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)18.5pp

Schools are 18pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.1%
notEnglishPct 19.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+43.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census