UK Demographics Population data for every community

North Lincolnshire

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-17.6pp WBI 88.7% → 71.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
169,684 Population (2021 Census)
88.7% White British (2021)
78.6% White British (2041 projected)
71.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 88.7%
white other 5.6%
asian 3.3%
black 0.5%
mixed 1.1%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 71.1%
white other 19.0%
asian 5.1%
black 0.6%
mixed 2.9%
other 1.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+3.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.28 · Dissimilarity: 14.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 90.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 9.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 45.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.6%
notEnglishPct 12.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

43/100 Low Pressure Rank 127 of 320
Ethnic change15/20
Asylum2/20
School8/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.6%
Avg home ownership64.7%
Avg social rent14.4%
Degree or above23%
No qualifications21%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)64.7%
Social rent (2021)14.4%
Private rent (2021)17%
Ownership (2041)61.2%
Social rent (2041)14.5%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 23,684 pupils.

WBI pupils80.8%
Minority pupils19.2%
EAL growth (projected)+7.9pp
WBI gap (school vs population)7.9pp

Schools are 8pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.6%
notEnglishPct 12.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Asylum and immigration data Asylum seekers on support, hotel costs, grant rates, and the True Cost of Asylum for this area. View North Lincolnshire on Asylum Stats →
Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census