South Derbyshire

East Midlands · England
-9.4pp WBI 90.2% → 80.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
107,206 Population (2021 Census)
90.2% White British (2021)
84.4% White British (2041 projected)
80.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.2%
white other 3.0%
asian 3.6%
black 0.8%
mixed 1.8%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 80.8%
white other 6.4%
asian 6.7%
black 0.8%
mixed 4.7%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+3.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.26 · Dissimilarity: 15.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 33.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.9%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

23/100 Stable Rank 262 of 320
Ethnic change9/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.6%
Avg home ownership71.9%
Avg social rent9.5%
Degree or above30.5%
No qualifications15.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)71.9%
Social rent (2021)9.5%
Private rent (2021)14.3%
Ownership (2041)69.8%
Social rent (2041)9.3%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.9%
notEnglishPct 6.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census