Forest of Dean

South West · England
-4.6pp WBI 94.7% → 90.1% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
87,004 Population (2021 Census)
94.7% White British (2021)
91.9% White British (2041 projected)
90.1% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.7%
white other 2.8%
asian 0.7%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.1%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 90.1%
white other 6.3%
asian 0.7%
black 0.3%
mixed 2.3%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+5.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.9%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.1%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 30.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

17/100 Stable Rank 306 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.6%
Avg home ownership72.6%
Avg social rent12.9%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications18.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)72.6%
Social rent (2021)12.9%
Private rent (2021)13.5%
Ownership (2041)72%
Social rent (2041)12.9%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.2%
notEnglishPct 3.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census