UK Demographics Population data for every community

South Gloucestershire

South West · England
-29.8pp WBI 85.8% → 56.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
290,424 Population (2021 Census)
85.8% White British (2021)
68.4% White British (2041 projected)
56.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.8%
white other 5.4%
asian 3.8%
black 1.6%
mixed 2.5%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 56.0%
white other 19.3%
asian 9.1%
black 5.6%
mixed 8.6%
other 1.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+1.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.34 · Dissimilarity: 12.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 35.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.6%
notEnglishPct 10.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

46/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 110 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum2/20
School11/20
Language0/20
Housing12/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.3%
Avg home ownership69%
Avg social rent10.3%
Degree or above31.3%
No qualifications13.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69%
Social rent (2021)10.3%
Private rent (2021)15.4%
Ownership (2041)61.5%
Social rent (2041)9.7%
Social rent change-0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 41,008 pupils.

WBI pupils75.0%
Minority pupils25.0%
EAL growth (projected)+10.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)10.8pp

Schools are 11pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.6%
notEnglishPct 10.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Asylum and immigration data Asylum seekers on support, hotel costs, grant rates, and the True Cost of Asylum for this area. View South Gloucestershire on Asylum Stats →
Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census