Braintree

East of England · England
-6.7pp WBI 90.4% → 83.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
155,265 Population (2021 Census)
90.3% White British (2021)
86.5% White British (2041 projected)
83.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.3%
white other 4.3%
asian 1.6%
black 1.2%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 83.6%
white other 7.4%
asian 1.8%
black 1.9%
mixed 4.8%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+4.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.25 · Dissimilarity: 16.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 38.3%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 5.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

41/100 Low Pressure Rank 135 of 320
Ethnic change6/20
Asylum20/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing16/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.3%
Avg home ownership66.5%
Avg social rent15.8%
Degree or above25.1%
No qualifications17.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)66.5%
Social rent (2021)15.8%
Private rent (2021)14.8%
Ownership (2041)65.6%
Social rent (2041)15.6%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.0%
notEnglishPct 5.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census