Sevenoaks

South East · England
-13.2pp WBI 85.5% → 72.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
120,515 Population (2021 Census)
85.5% White British (2021)
77.5% White British (2041 projected)
72.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 85.5%
white other 6.6%
asian 2.9%
black 1.6%
mixed 2.6%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 72.3%
white other 11.9%
asian 4.0%
black 2.7%
mixed 8.3%
other 0.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.9pp Structural effect
+1.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.34 · Dissimilarity: 12.0

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 49.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

32/100 Low Pressure Rank 202 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing19/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.2%
Avg home ownership69.9%
Avg social rent12.5%
Degree or above35.8%
No qualifications14.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.9%
Social rent (2021)12.5%
Private rent (2021)13.2%
Ownership (2041)67.8%
Social rent (2041)12%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.6%
notEnglishPct 6.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census