Tandridge

South East · England
-12.1pp WBI 83.5% → 71.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
87,877 Population (2021 Census)
83.5% White British (2021)
76.2% White British (2041 projected)
71.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 83.5%
white other 5.9%
asian 3.7%
black 2.2%
mixed 3.8%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 71.4%
white other 10.7%
asian 4.8%
black 2.8%
mixed 9.5%
other 0.8%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.7pp Structural effect
+1.3pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.38 · Dissimilarity: 11.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 49.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.9%
notEnglishPct 6.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

31/100 Low Pressure Rank 208 of 320
Ethnic change11/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing19/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59.2%
Avg home ownership70.9%
Avg social rent10.4%
Degree or above35.3%
No qualifications12.9%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.9%
Social rent (2021)10.4%
Private rent (2021)12.8%
Ownership (2041)69.3%
Social rent (2041)10.2%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.9%
notEnglishPct 6.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+7.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census