Gravesham

South East · England
-35.9pp WBI 68.3% → 32.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
106,902 Population (2021 Census)
68.3% White British (2021)
45.7% White British (2041 projected)
32.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 68.3%
white other 8.3%
asian 11.2%
black 6.5%
mixed 2.6%
other 3.0%

Projected 2051

white british 32.4%
white other 13.1%
asian 8.4%
black 35.0%
mixed 4.0%
other 7.1%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-8.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+0.2pp Structural effect
-2.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

diverse Shannon entropy: 0.61 · Dissimilarity: 6.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 80.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 19.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 65.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.1%
notEnglishPct 23.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

46/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 111 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum6/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate51.9%
Avg home ownership51.2%
Avg social rent14.2%
Degree or above22.1%
No qualifications16.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)51.2%
Social rent (2021)14.2%
Private rent (2021)16.8%
Ownership (2041)40.4%
Social rent (2041)11.4%
Social rent change-2.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.1%
notEnglishPct 23.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census