High Peak

East Midlands · England
-3.4pp WBI 94.7% → 91.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
90,935 Population (2021 Census)
94.8% White British (2021)
92.6% White British (2041 projected)
91.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 94.8%
white other 2.7%
asian 0.8%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.2%

Projected 2051

white british 91.3%
white other 4.5%
asian 0.7%
black 0.2%
mixed 3.0%
other 0.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: local migration.

-1.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+6.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.15 · Dissimilarity: 20.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 25.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.7%
notEnglishPct 2.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

14/100 Stable Rank 314 of 320
Ethnic change3/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.8%
Avg home ownership70.8%
Avg social rent12.1%
Degree or above35.3%
No qualifications14.8%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)70.8%
Social rent (2021)12.1%
Private rent (2021)16.1%
Ownership (2041)70.5%
Social rent (2041)12.1%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.7%
notEnglishPct 2.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census