Stockport

North West · England
-26.9pp WBI 83.4% → 56.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
294,770 Population (2021 Census)
83.4% White British (2021)
67.5% White British (2041 projected)
56.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 83.4%
white other 4.0%
asian 7.3%
black 1.2%
mixed 2.6%
other 1.6%

Projected 2051

white british 56.5%
white other 6.8%
asian 17.8%
black 3.5%
mixed 6.4%
other 9.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.7pp Structural effect
+1.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.38 · Dissimilarity: 9.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 12.4% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 90.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 9.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 45.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

60/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 39 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum14/20
School9/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.3%
Avg home ownership65.8%
Avg social rent12.2%
Degree or above34.5%
No qualifications14.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)65.8%
Social rent (2021)12.2%
Private rent (2021)13.5%
Ownership (2041)58.5%
Social rent (2041)11.4%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 42,870 pupils.

WBI pupils74.9%
Minority pupils25.1%
EAL growth (projected)+8.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)8.5pp

Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census