Barnsley

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-29.7pp WBI 92.6% -> 62.9% by 2051 (single-year HP, SNPP-constrained)
244,555 Population (2021 Census)
92.6% White British (2021)
77.6% White British (2041 projected)
62.9% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.6%
white other 4.3%
asian 0.9%
black 0.6%
mixed 0.9%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 62.9%
white other 32.9%
asian 1.3%
black 0.7%
mixed 1.6%
other 0.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.7pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+3.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.1

Service demand pressure

26/100 Low Pressure Rank 246 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum6/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing0/20
Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census