Havant

South East · England
-6.4pp WBI 93.2% → 86.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
124,210 Population (2021 Census)
93.2% White British (2021)
89.8% White British (2041 projected)
86.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.2%
white other 2.7%
asian 1.7%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 86.8%
white other 6.9%
asian 2.0%
black 0.7%
mixed 3.1%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 35.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 285 of 320
Ethnic change5/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.5%
Avg home ownership67.1%
Avg social rent18.2%
Degree or above25.9%
No qualifications19.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)67.1%
Social rent (2021)18.2%
Private rent (2021)12.3%
Ownership (2041)66.6%
Social rent (2041)18%
Social rent change-0.3pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.9%
notEnglishPct 4.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.5pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census