South Holland

East Midlands · England
-23.4pp WBI 84.4% → 61.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
95,122 Population (2021 Census)
84.4% White British (2021)
70.0% White British (2041 projected)
61.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 84.4%
white other 11.9%
asian 1.3%
black 0.5%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 61.0%
white other 34.0%
asian 1.3%
black 0.5%
mixed 2.6%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-5.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+1.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.32 · Dissimilarity: 14.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 85.4%
Foreign-born (2021) 14.6%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 57.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

44/100 Low Pressure Rank 121 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.9%
Avg home ownership68.5%
Avg social rent11.8%
Degree or above19.7%
No qualifications24.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)68.5%
Social rent (2021)11.8%
Private rent (2021)17.9%
Ownership (2041)63.1%
Social rent (2041)11.2%
Social rent change-0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 88.7%
notEnglishPct 22.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+14.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census