East Staffordshire

West Midlands · England
-34.9pp WBI 78.2% → 43.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
124,021 Population (2021 Census)
78.2% White British (2021)
56.6% White British (2041 projected)
43.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 78.2%
white other 8.1%
asian 9.3%
black 1.1%
mixed 2.2%
other 1.1%

Projected 2051

white british 43.4%
white other 33.5%
asian 15.8%
black 1.0%
mixed 5.1%
other 1.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-7.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.5pp Structural effect
-1.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.45 · Dissimilarity: 5.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 15.0% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 86.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 13.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 56.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.0%
notEnglishPct 20.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

45/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 114 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum5/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.7%
Avg home ownership59.5%
Avg social rent11.8%
Degree or above25.7%
No qualifications18.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)59.5%
Social rent (2021)11.8%
Private rent (2021)18.2%
Ownership (2041)49.2%
Social rent (2041)11.8%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 90.0%
notEnglishPct 20.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+21.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census