Rutland

East Midlands · England
-26.9pp WBI 91.1% → 64.2% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
41,050 Population (2021 Census)
91.0% White British (2021)
73.7% White British (2041 projected)
64.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.0%
white other 3.7%
asian 1.5%
black 2.1%
mixed 1.0%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 64.2%
white other 9.8%
asian 10.8%
black 7.1%
mixed 4.1%
other 4.0%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.1pp Structural effect
+4.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.24 · Dissimilarity: 16.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 41.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

40/100 Low Pressure Rank 151 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum0/20
School3/20
Language0/20
Housing17/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54.5%
Avg home ownership69.6%
Avg social rent10.5%
Degree or above36.6%
No qualifications12.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.6%
Social rent (2021)10.5%
Private rent (2021)16.2%
Ownership (2041)61.7%
Social rent (2041)10.1%
Social rent change-0.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 5,724 pupils.

WBI pupils88.2%
Minority pupils11.8%
EAL growth (projected)+2.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)2.8pp

School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.8%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+17.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census