Islington

London · England
-24.0pp WBI 39.8% → 15.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
216,590 Population (2021 Census)
39.8% White British (2021)
23.9% White British (2041 projected)
15.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 39.8%
white other 22.5%
asian 9.9%
black 13.3%
mixed 7.5%
other 7.1%

Projected 2051

white british 15.8%
white other 14.0%
asian 6.5%
black 13.6%
mixed 9.0%
other 41.2%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-8.0pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+2.6pp Structural effect
-4.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.88 · Dissimilarity: 34.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 13.1% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 60.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 39.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 75.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 81.0%
notEnglishPct 38.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

53/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 81 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum1/20
School15/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.7%
Avg home ownership20.9%
Avg social rent30.3%
Degree or above43.7%
No qualifications10.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)20.9%
Social rent (2021)30.3%
Private rent (2021)25.6%
Ownership (2041)18.3%
Social rent (2041)33.4%
Social rent change+3.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 22,766 pupils.

WBI pupils25.2%
Minority pupils74.8%
EAL growth (projected)+14.5pp
WBI gap (school vs population)14.6pp

Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 81.0%
notEnglishPct 38.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.9pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census