Eastleigh

South East · England
-10.9pp WBI 88.1% → 77.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
136,444 Population (2021 Census)
88.1% White British (2021)
81.8% White British (2041 projected)
77.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 88.1%
white other 4.3%
asian 3.8%
black 1.0%
mixed 2.1%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 77.2%
white other 10.7%
asian 5.0%
black 1.5%
mixed 4.9%
other 0.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.9pp Structural effect
+3.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.30 · Dissimilarity: 14.1

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 90.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 9.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 45.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

28/100 Low Pressure Rank 226 of 320
Ethnic change10/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate62.4%
Avg home ownership69.3%
Avg social rent12.4%
Degree or above31.6%
No qualifications13%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.3%
Social rent (2021)12.4%
Private rent (2021)13.5%
Ownership (2041)67.4%
Social rent (2041)12.3%
Social rent change-0.2pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 96.3%
notEnglishPct 7.4%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+6.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census