Fareham

South East · England
-4.6pp WBI 92.8% → 88.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
114,512 Population (2021 Census)
92.8% White British (2021)
90.0% White British (2041 projected)
88.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 92.8%
white other 2.9%
asian 1.8%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.5%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 88.2%
white other 5.7%
asian 2.1%
black 0.8%
mixed 2.7%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-1.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 36.8%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 280 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum1/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.9%
Avg home ownership77.1%
Avg social rent8%
Degree or above32.5%
No qualifications13.5%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)77.1%
Social rent (2021)8%
Private rent (2021)12.4%
Ownership (2041)76.4%
Social rent (2041)8%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.1%
notEnglishPct 3.9%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census