Calderdale

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-14.0pp WBI 82.8% → 68.8% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
206,631 Population (2021 Census)
82.8% White British (2021)
74.5% White British (2041 projected)
68.8% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 82.8%
white other 3.3%
asian 10.5%
black 0.7%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 68.8%
white other 4.2%
asian 18.7%
black 0.9%
mixed 6.0%
other 1.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.5pp Structural effect
+3.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.37 · Dissimilarity: 9.9

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 11.6% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 30.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.4%
notEnglishPct 9.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

51/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 84 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum14/20
School13/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate52.7%
Avg home ownership57.4%
Avg social rent13%
Degree or above27.4%
No qualifications17%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)57.4%
Social rent (2021)13%
Private rent (2021)18.4%
Ownership (2041)53.3%
Social rent (2041)12.4%
Social rent change-0.6pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 35,026 pupils.

WBI pupils69.6%
Minority pupils30.4%
EAL growth (projected)+13.2pp
WBI gap (school vs population)13.2pp

Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.4%
notEnglishPct 9.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+8.3pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census