York

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-9.2pp WBI 87.2% → 78.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
202,821 Population (2021 Census)
87.3% White British (2021)
81.6% White British (2041 projected)
78.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 87.3%
white other 5.5%
asian 3.8%
black 0.7%
mixed 1.8%
other 1.0%

Projected 2051

white british 78.0%
white other 11.4%
asian 3.1%
black 0.7%
mixed 4.9%
other 1.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.9pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+4.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.31 · Dissimilarity: 13.0

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 89.2%
Foreign-born (2021) 10.8%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 35.9%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

33/100 Low Pressure Rank 187 of 320
Ethnic change9/20
Asylum7/20
School5/20
Language0/20
Housing13/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate56.2%
Avg home ownership62.7%
Avg social rent13.3%
Degree or above37.1%
No qualifications12.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)62.7%
Social rent (2021)13.3%
Private rent (2021)19.7%
Ownership (2041)61.5%
Social rent (2041)13.2%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 24,830 pupils.

WBI pupils81.9%
Minority pupils18.1%
EAL growth (projected)+5.3pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.3pp

Schools are 5pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+5.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census