Wrexham

Wales · Wales
-16.5pp WBI 90.7% → 74.2% by 2051 (v2, SNPP-constrained, bias-corrected)
135,122 Population (2021 Census)
90.7% White British (2021)
80.0% White British (2041 projected)
74.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.7%
white other 5.3%
asian 1.7%
black 1.2%
mixed 0.6%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 74.2%
white other 10.2%
asian 6.7%
black 3.1%
mixed 3.3%
other 2.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+5.1pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.24 · Dissimilarity: 16.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 92.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 28.4%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

31/100 Low Pressure Rank 206 of 320
Ethnic change16/20
Asylum5/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing10/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.3%
Avg home ownership60.8%
Avg social rent20.4%
Degree or above28.2%
No qualifications20.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)60.8%
Social rent (2021)20.4%
Private rent (2021)15.9%
Ownership (2041)56.4%
Social rent (2041)19.6%
Social rent change-0.8pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.9%
notEnglishPct 10.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+10.7pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census