Wakefield

Yorkshire and The Humber · England
-26.6pp WBI 88.2% → 61.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
353,370 Population (2021 Census)
88.2% White British (2021)
73.0% White British (2041 projected)
61.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 88.2%
white other 4.8%
asian 3.6%
black 1.3%
mixed 1.4%
other 0.7%

Projected 2051

white british 61.6%
white other 20.4%
asian 6.8%
black 5.4%
mixed 4.4%
other 1.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.6pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.0pp Structural effect
+2.8pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.29 · Dissimilarity: 13.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 91.5%
Foreign-born (2021) 8.5%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 30.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.5%
notEnglishPct 11.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

49/100 Moderate Pressure Rank 91 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum10/20
School9/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.4%
Avg home ownership60%
Avg social rent20.7%
Degree or above23.1%
No qualifications23.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)60%
Social rent (2021)20.7%
Private rent (2021)14.5%
Ownership (2041)54.1%
Social rent (2041)20.2%
Social rent change-0.4pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 54,403 pupils.

WBI pupils79.5%
Minority pupils20.5%
EAL growth (projected)+8.7pp
WBI gap (school vs population)8.7pp

Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 94.5%
notEnglishPct 11.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+15.2pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census