Telford and Wrekin

West Midlands · England
-40.6pp WBI 83.0% → 42.4% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
185,543 Population (2021 Census)
83.0% White British (2021)
61.0% White British (2041 projected)
42.4% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 83.0%
white other 5.2%
asian 5.4%
black 2.9%
mixed 2.6%
other 0.9%

Projected 2051

white british 42.4%
white other 14.3%
asian 7.1%
black 30.8%
mixed 4.7%
other 0.7%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-6.5pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-0.8pp Structural effect
+0.6pp Local effect

Diversity index

moderately diverse Shannon entropy: 0.39 · Dissimilarity: 9.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 88.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 11.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 50.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.4%
notEnglishPct 13.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

73/100 High Pressure Rank 12 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum18/20
School15/20
Language0/20
Housing20/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate55.9%
Avg home ownership55.1%
Avg social rent16.5%
Degree or above23.9%
No qualifications18.2%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)55.1%
Social rent (2021)16.5%
Private rent (2021)19.9%
Ownership (2041)44.7%
Social rent (2041)14%
Social rent change-2.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 31,791 pupils.

WBI pupils68.2%
Minority pupils31.8%
EAL growth (projected)+14.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)14.8pp

Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 93.4%
notEnglishPct 13.3%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+22pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census