South Tyneside

North East · England
-5.7pp WBI 93.0% → 87.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
147,777 Population (2021 Census)
93.0% White British (2021)
89.6% White British (2041 projected)
87.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.0%
white other 1.4%
asian 2.9%
black 0.5%
mixed 1.3%
other 0.8%

Projected 2051

white british 87.3%
white other 2.6%
asian 5.6%
black 0.8%
mixed 2.8%
other 0.9%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.20 · Dissimilarity: 18.5

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.6%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.4%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 27.1%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.7%
notEnglishPct 4.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

42/100 Low Pressure Rank 131 of 320
Ethnic change5/20
Asylum20/20
School6/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate54%
Avg home ownership55.1%
Avg social rent28.5%
Degree or above25.3%
No qualifications19.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)55.1%
Social rent (2021)28.5%
Private rent (2021)12.9%
Ownership (2041)53.9%
Social rent (2041)28%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 22,809 pupils.

WBI pupils87.2%
Minority pupils12.8%
EAL growth (projected)+5.8pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.8pp

Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.7%
notEnglishPct 4.5%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+3.4pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census