South Norfolk

East of England · England
-8.2pp WBI 91.8% → 83.6% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
141,948 Population (2021 Census)
91.8% White British (2021)
87.2% White British (2041 projected)
83.6% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 91.8%
white other 3.6%
asian 1.8%
black 0.8%
mixed 1.5%
other 0.5%

Projected 2051

white british 83.6%
white other 10.3%
asian 1.9%
black 0.9%
mixed 2.8%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.4pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+4.2pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.22 · Dissimilarity: 17.3

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.0%
Foreign-born (2021) 7.0%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 37.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

23/100 Stable Rank 263 of 320
Ethnic change7/20
Asylum0/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate58.3%
Avg home ownership72.2%
Avg social rent11.4%
Degree or above31.3%
No qualifications16.6%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)72.2%
Social rent (2021)11.4%
Private rent (2021)13.7%
Ownership (2041)71.4%
Social rent (2041)11.4%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.1%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+4.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census