Shropshire

West Midlands · England
-7.1pp WBI 93.3% → 86.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
323,607 Population (2021 Census)
93.3% White British (2021)
89.2% White British (2041 projected)
86.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.3%
white other 3.4%
asian 1.3%
black 0.3%
mixed 1.2%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 86.2%
white other 7.2%
asian 2.3%
black 0.3%
mixed 3.5%
other 0.5%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.1pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+5.5pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.8

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 94.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 5.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 22.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

20/100 Stable Rank 282 of 320
Ethnic change6/20
Asylum0/20
School5/20
Language0/20
Housing8/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate57.5%
Avg home ownership68.1%
Avg social rent12.9%
Degree or above32%
No qualifications16.4%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)68.1%
Social rent (2021)12.9%
Private rent (2021)17.4%
Ownership (2041)67%
Social rent (2041)12.9%
Social rent change0pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 39,027 pupils.

WBI pupils88.2%
Minority pupils11.8%
EAL growth (projected)+5.1pp
WBI gap (school vs population)5.1pp

Schools are 5pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.4%
notEnglishPct 5.2%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+4.1pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census