North Warwickshire

West Midlands · England
-4.7pp WBI 93.2% → 88.5% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
65,036 Population (2021 Census)
93.2% White British (2021)
90.5% White British (2041 projected)
88.5% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 93.2%
white other 3.0%
asian 1.3%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.7%
other 0.3%

Projected 2051

white british 88.5%
white other 3.6%
asian 1.3%
black 0.6%
mixed 5.7%
other 0.3%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-2.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.3pp Structural effect
+4.9pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.19 · Dissimilarity: 18.7

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 95.7%
Foreign-born (2021) 4.3%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 26.5%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.0%
notEnglishPct 4.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

19/100 Stable Rank 289 of 320
Ethnic change4/20
Asylum4/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing11/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate60.5%
Avg home ownership69.9%
Avg social rent13.4%
Degree or above24.4%
No qualifications21.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)69.9%
Social rent (2021)13.4%
Private rent (2021)14.8%
Ownership (2041)69.4%
Social rent (2041)13.5%
Social rent change+0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 98.0%
notEnglishPct 4.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+2.6pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census