Coventry

West Midlands · England
-40.3pp WBI 55.3% → 15.0% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
345,321 Population (2021 Census)
55.3% White British (2021)
27.7% White British (2041 projected)
15.0% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 55.3%
white other 10.2%
asian 18.5%
black 8.9%
mixed 3.4%
other 3.7%

Projected 2051

white british 15.0%
white other 14.8%
asian 12.8%
black 17.1%
mixed 4.7%
other 35.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-11.3pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
+1.1pp Structural effect
-6.0pp Local effect

Diversity index

highly diverse Shannon entropy: 0.74 · Dissimilarity: 19.2

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Muslim population projected: 21.8% by 2051

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 72.1%
Foreign-born (2021) 27.9%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 64.2%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.5%
notEnglishPct 35.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

74/100 High Pressure Rank 4 of 320
Ethnic change20/20
Asylum20/20
School16/20
Language0/20
Housing18/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate43.2%
Avg home ownership40.7%
Avg social rent12.5%
Degree or above22.4%
No qualifications14.1%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)40.7%
Social rent (2021)12.5%
Private rent (2021)19.4%
Ownership (2041)31.9%
Social rent (2041)11.5%
Social rent change-1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

School demographics

DfE School Census 2024/25. 60,774 pupils.

WBI pupils39.1%
Minority pupils60.9%
EAL growth (projected)+16.2pp
WBI gap (school vs population)16.2pp

Schools are 16pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 82.5%
notEnglishPct 35.0%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+27.6pp

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census