Tamworth

West Midlands · England
-15.6pp WBI 90.8% → 75.3% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
78,642 Population (2021 Census)
90.8% White British (2021)
81.8% White British (2041 projected)
75.3% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.8%
white other 4.9%
asian 1.4%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.9%
other 0.4%

Projected 2051

white british 75.3%
white other 17.1%
asian 1.4%
black 0.6%
mixed 5.3%
other 0.4%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-4.2pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+3.4pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.24 · Dissimilarity: 16.6

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.3%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.7%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 36.7%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

41/100 Low Pressure Rank 139 of 320
Ethnic change14/20
Asylum13/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing15/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate61.8%
Avg home ownership66%
Avg social rent17.7%
Degree or above21.5%
No qualifications21.3%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)66%
Social rent (2021)17.7%
Private rent (2021)14.2%
Ownership (2041)63.9%
Social rent (2041)17.1%
Social rent change-0.5pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 95.7%
notEnglishPct 8.6%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+9pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census