Hinckley and Bosworth

East Midlands · England
-14.7pp WBI 90.8% → 76.2% by 2051 (20-group HP, Census-direct, SNPP-constrained)
113,641 Population (2021 Census)
90.8% White British (2021)
83.0% White British (2041 projected)
76.2% White British (2051 projected)

Ethnic composition

Census 2021 observed data with Hamilton-Perry projections to 2061.

white british 90.8%
white other 3.5%
asian 2.8%
black 0.6%
mixed 1.8%
other 0.6%

Projected 2051

white british 76.2%
white other 13.8%
asian 4.2%
black 0.7%
mixed 4.5%
other 0.6%

What's driving change?

Shift-share decomposes demographic change into national trend, structural composition, and local factors. Dominant driver: national trend.

-3.8pp Total WBI change
-6.4pp National effect
-1.2pp Structural effect
+3.7pp Local effect

Diversity index

low diversity Shannon entropy: 0.24 · Dissimilarity: 16.4

Religion

Census 2021 religious composition with projections.

2021 [object Object]
2031 [object Object]
2041 [object Object]
2051 [object Object]

Country of birth

UK-born (2021) 93.8%
Foreign-born (2021) 6.2%
Foreign-born (2051 projected) 34.6%

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%

Service demand pressure

29/100 Low Pressure Rank 217 of 320
Ethnic change12/20
Asylum3/20
School0/20
Language0/20
Housing14/20

Economic profile

Avg employment rate59.7%
Avg home ownership72.5%
Avg social rent9.9%
Degree or above28.5%
No qualifications17.7%

Housing demand projection

Census 2021 tenure patterns by ethnicity, projected to 2041 from demographic composition change.

Ownership (2021)72.5%
Social rent (2021)9.9%
Private rent (2021)14.2%
Ownership (2041)70.1%
Social rent (2041)9.9%
Social rent change-0.1pp

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

English proficiency

mainLanguageEnglishPct 97.2%
notEnglishPct 5.7%
cannotSpeakEnglishPct 0.0%
Projected non-English growth+7.8pp

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Updated 14 Apr 2026 · Census 2021, ONS SNPP, DfE School Census